The International Monetary Fund forecasts about China's economic growth draw attention to the need for the Chinese Government to promote a more relaxed monetary policy and adopt measures to stimulate the local governments. At present, in fact, although the rate of growth of gross domestic product remains above 7%, the slowdown in China in 2012 is significant. "The real activity in all advanced economies continues to be disappointing, while the weak U.S. recovery and the recession in Europe cause a decline in exports throughout the East Asia-Pacific area," says the dossier of the International Monetary Fund. A positive aspect is, however, the growth of individual consumption, supported by an increase in wages in the country estimated at around 13% in real terms, year on year. The Analysts seem to agree that, beyond the glare of the international economic crisis on the Chinese economy, the downturn is also physiological to an economy that has always recorded very high growth rates in recent years and now seems to move towards a natural and inevitable stabilization.

According to the Analysts, this would be interpreted as the result of the economic stimulus package approved by the Government in 2008 to counter the global crisis: these actions, in fact, resulted in a significant increase in inflation and property prices, so as to fear the bursting of a bubble speculative. In the face of this risk, starting from 2010 the Chinese Government has adopted strict restrictions, which resulted, in one hand, into a reduction in prices and the cost of living but, on the other hand, they were also responsible for the overall slowdown of the Dragon.